ERICA M. HAMILTON
COMMISSION SECRETARY
Commission.Secretary@bcuc.com
web site: http://www.bcuc.com
VIA E-MAIL
Mr. Scott Thomson
Vice President, Finance and Regulatory Affairs
Terasen Gas Inc.
Terasen Gas (Vancouver Island) Inc.
16705 Fraser Highway
Surrey, B.C. V3S 2X7
regulatory.affairs@terasengas.com
Mr. C.P. Donohue
Director, Regulatory Affairs & Gas Supply
Pacific Northern Gas Ltd.
950 - 1185 West Georgia Street
Vancouver, B.C. V6E 4E6
cdonohue@png.ca
Dear Sirs:
Re: Return on Common Equity for a
Low-Risk Benchmark Utility for the Year 2008
Pursuant to the Commission’s Decision dated June 10, 1994 regarding Return on Common Equity and Order
No. G-35-94, and as amended by Order No. G-80-99, Order No. G-109-01 and Order No. G-14-06, the
Commission has determined that the current ROE automatic adjustment mechanism results in an allowed return
on common equity of 8.62 percent for a low-risk benchmark utility in 2008. The calculation and other
documentation in support of this finding are attached.
The appropriate ROE in 2008 for individual utilities will incorporate the risk premium for each utility relative to
the low-risk benchmark.
JWF/cms
Attachment
MisCor/L-93-07_2008 Return on Equity
LETTER NO. L-93-07
SIXTH FLOOR, 900 HOWE STREET, BOX 250
VANCOUVER, B.C. CANADA V6Z 2N3
TELEPHONE: (604) 660-4700
BC TOLL FREE: 1-800-663-1385
FACSIMILE: (604) 660-1102
November 22, 2007
Mr. David Bennett
Vice President, Regulatory Affairs & General Counsel
Regulatory Affairs Department
FortisBC Inc.
1290 Esplanade
PO Box 130
Trail, BC V1R 4L4
regulatory@fortisbc.com
Yours truly,
Original signed by
Erica M. Hamilton
cc:
Mr. R. Brian Wallace
Ms. Joanna Sofield
Bull, Housser & Tupper
Chief Regulatory Officer
British Columbia Hydro and Power Authority
Mr. Jim Quail
Executive Director
BCUC Regulated Utilities
The British Columbia Public Interest
Advocacy Centre
Mr. Marcel Reghelini
Director, Regulatory Affairs
British Columbia Transmission Corporation
ATTACHMENT TO LETTER NO. L-93-07
Calculation Of Allowed 2008 Rate Of Return On Common Equity
For A Low-Risk Benchmark Utility
(Per Commission Order No. G-35-94,
Amended by Order No. G-80-99, Order No. G-109-01 and Order No. G-14-06)
A forecast of long-term Canada bonds is developed based on the Consensus Economics forecast of 10-year bonds
(step 1) and the observed spread between 10- and 30-year bonds over a defined period (step 2). This establishes
a forecast yield for long Canada bonds (step 3).
1.
Ten Year Canada Bond Yield – end of February 2008
4.3%
(Consensus Economics, November 2007 Consensus Forecast)
Ten Year Canada Bond Yield – end of November 2008
4.7%
(Consensus Economics, November 2007 Consensus Forecast)
Average of 3 and 12 Month Forecasts
4.50%
2.
Add average yield spread between 10-year and 30-year bonds as
0.049%
reported in the Financial Post for all trading days in October 2007.
3.
Equals forecast yield on long-term Canada bonds
4.549%
As per Commission Order No. G-14-06, the approved benchmark return on equity (ROE) is 9.145 percent
assuming a 30-year long Canada bond yield of 5.25 percent. Where the forecast yield is greater or less than 5.25
percent, a sliding scale adjustment raises or lowers the benchmark ROE by 75 percent of the change in the
forecast yield on long-term Canada Bonds (step 4). The unrounded allowed ROE in percentage terms is rounded
to the nearest 2 decimal places (step 5).
4.
Unrounded allowed ROE based on sliding scale adjustment:
9.145 – (0.75 * (5.25 – 4.549))
8.619%
5.
Allowed ROE
8.62%
You are being directed to the most recent version of the statute which may not be the version considered at the time of the judgment.